Milwaukee vs. Orlando, 11/01/2019 19:00 EDT, Score: 123 - 91

Point Spread: +5/-115 Orlando

Sportsbook: Bodog

Result: Loss

8* Orlando (7:05 ET): The Magic are team we've been tracking all week. While they came up short for us in Monday's loss to the Raptors, they immediately bounced back w/ a win and cover Wednesday night against the Knicks. Admittedly, beating the Knicks wasn't as easy as it looked. The Magic were down at halftime before really putting down the clamps defensively. They held the Knicks to just 39 pts in the 2H. No team is playing at a slower pace than the Magic, whose games - on average - are the lowest scoring in the league right now. I'm counting on that slow pace and defense to be factor tonight as Orlando is a home dog for the 1st time this season. Take the points.

Milwaukee won 60 ames last year, finishing first in the East. They are the overwhelming favorite to finish first in the Conference again this year. But I suspect they're not going to win as many games this year as they did in 2018. They made a large jump from 44 to 60 (wins) last year based on a new offensive approach under HC Mike Budenholzer (more threes!) and Giannis Antetokounmpo emerging as one of the league's top players. The book is now out on the Bucks though. The "Greek Freak" (Antetokounmpo) is being hampered w/ foul trouble so far this year and the team has twice lost a game in which it held a lead of 16+ points. Defensively, they are giving up 117.5 PPG.

Orlando is 2-0 at home this year. Granted, those wins were against the Cavs and Knicks. But considering how poorly the Magic have shot the ball so far, it's a wonder they've won any games at all! They are averaging 95.7 PPG on 39.5% shooting, including 28.8% from three-point range. Every one of those numbers ranks last in the league, except 3-pt shooting, which is 29th (2nd worst). You have to imagine the shooting is set to improve and with Milwaukee struggling defensively, tonight should be the night Orlando breaks out offensively. The Magic have no problems defensively, ranking 2nd in the league in points allowed at 93.8 PPG and 3rd in efficiency. I smell an "upset" here. 8* Orlando

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