New Orleans vs. Oklahoma City, 11/02/2019 17:00 EDT, Score: 104 - 115

Point Spread: -3/-110 Oklahoma City

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Win

The Pelicans are off an upset win last time out vs Denver by a 122-107 count as 4 point home dogs. Note: NEW ORLEANS is 2-15 ATS L/17 off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog . The Pelicans have been running a full throttle take no prisoners game plan so far this season, and after that draining effort last time out Im looking for a regressionary effort today in Oklahoma City.

Pelicans are also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Meanwhile, the well rested Thunder are off a 102-99 loss last time out to Portland, but have bounced back well in the recent past positing a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest.

We also have a interesting NBA trend anomaly attached to this tilt that favors the Thunder: NBA Home favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - poor ball handling team - committing 16 or more turnovers/game, on Saturday games are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

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