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BIRMINGHAM BOWL 10* BLUE CHIP TOTAL! (BOSTON/CINCY) *3 ET ON ESPN*

BIRMINGHAM BOWL 10* BLUE CHIP TOTAL! (BOSTON/CINCY) *3 ET ON ESPN*

Boston College vs. Cincinnati, 01/02/2020 15:00 EDT, Score: 6 - 38

Total: -105/+54½ Over

Sportsbook: Bookmaker

Result: Loss

I'm playing on Boston/Cincy OVER the total. While the Bearcats have indeed been profitable for 'under' bettors, the opposite is true of the Eagles. Even with its last two games staying below the total, Boston College has still seen the OVER go 8-4 on the season. Thats what happens when you have a porous defense though. The Eagles give up 31.7 ppg and a whopping 480.3 yards per game. They're even worse defensively when playing away from home, as they allow 33.7 ppg and 510.2 ypg. When facing some weaker defenses earlier in the season, the Bearcats put up big numbers. They scored 52 against Marshall, 38 against Houston, 46 against ECU and 48 vs. UConn. They'll be licking their chops at the prospects of facing BC. While they have trouble stopping the other team, the Eagles can score. They average 30.9 ppg. Note that the OVER is 2-0 in BC neutral site games the past couple of years. Even though the majority of Cincy games did fall below the total, the OVER was 2-1 when they were favored in the -3.5 to -10 range. Look for those stats to improve as this afternoon's game proves higher-scoring than most will be expecting.


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